One question to ponder is where Kupp will be ranked in two years; another is whether or not the top-ranked player in two years is even in the NFL yet. Adams has earned grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons at times even serving as the Jets best edge rusher. He led the league in passing during 2018 and is in his age 38 season. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. Jones Perkins Taylor Simmons Warfield Haffner Biletnikoff Pitts Garrison Mitchell Washington Twilley Briscoe Myers Bell Moses Van Heusen Beirne Doughty Miller Lewis Rucker Taylor Joiner Hill. Browns downfall began during the Steelers-Raiders-Patriots mayhem of 2019 and since then his numbers are: 14 games, 78 catches, 957 yards in three seasons. In August 2018, 29-year-old Julio Jones is the best receiver in the NFL. He forced 42 missed tackles as a runner in 2019, more than double that of the next closest quarterback (Josh Allen, 20). The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. What wide receivers are 29 years old? Ok, but Antonio Brown is an (insert insult)! Heyward is entering his age 31 season. The catch seen around the world. With the speed Houston now has in its wide receiver room, that figures to be something they could feature heavily in 2020. But then in 2023, when hes 30, the Rams can get out from under half of his $18 million salary, the final year of the extension he signed in 2020. . After one year in LA, Wagner is looking for his third team in three years, Jalen Carter news shakes NFL Draft plans for all 32 teams, Carter is wanted in connection with a deadly crash in Georgia. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. He recorded 19 sacks last year. 29 year old wide receivers. The Steelers didnt have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but thats because they spent it on a 23-year-old safety whose 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3. (via @NFLonCBS) Special. Its merely meant to serve as a nod to the leagues best young players across all positions, and it considers PFF grades, signature stats and team impact over the course of the players' respective NFL careers. It's no coincidence that the Saints run defense improved markedly after Davis was added in 2018. Go back to the year 1999, the season in which Kurt Warner changed everything just so that he could one day inspire a movie that be directly targeted to Brenda and Kurt Warner, and of the 26 players to cross the 1,000-yard threshold, seven were at least 30 years of age: Jimmy Smith*, Tim Brown*, Cris Carter*, Rocket Ismail, Tony Martin, Ed McCaffrey, and Terance Mathis. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. Finally, Megatron had 88 catches for 1,214 yards when he was 30 and everyone assumed, Yeah, great, fineyouve only played nine seasons, SURELY you can play as long as Terrell Owens! Except that Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct. His two-year contested-target percentage and forced incompletion rate both rank among the top 10 players at the position. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com The average NFL career for a wide receiver is. He did much of the same upon his return to the field in 2019 (82.5 overall grade), and its hard to see him not playing at that same level next season. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. What age do NFL wide receivers peak? However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. Here are the links to the study on other positions: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson, Christian McCaffrey, Jamal Adams, Myles Garrett and Quenton Nelson are all 25 years old, making them ineligible for this list. He put . He ran a 4.33 40 yard dash coming out of college and has kept that speed throughout his NFL career. Some of this downfall has to be attributed to injuries, which is part of getting older, but that only strengthens the point that wide receivers are getting pushed out of the league at an earlier rate than ever: one bad injury can end a career now, not necessarily because the tank is empty but because the team assumes less risk by replacing said veteran through the draftand the draft is not only more rich with wideout talent than ever, but teams are also looking for pass-catchers at tight end and running back more than previously. Mecole Hardman, Chiefs. All five are on pace to have lower totals in 2021, even with the 17th game added onto the schedule. 3. His 2.89 receiving yards per route run trailed only George Kittle at the tight end position in 2019, and he was one of three qualifying tight ends to put up an average depth of target of 11 yards or more, joining Jared Cook and Mike Gesicki. Its the trait hell use to run most of the routes hes asked to run. Upon looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that; they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. Smith is one of the anchors of Minnesota's excellent defense, making his fifth consecutive Pro Bowl in 2019. Running Backs Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Which other receivers might join them on a list based on 2021 value? His 16 forced missed tackles after the catch were a top-five mark at the position, as well. : #CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS : NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. If there's one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old . From ages 25-30, Jones consistently crossed over 1,400 yards and he averaged: 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. At what age do certain positions start falling off? 29: 505: 17.4: 36.1: 2: 0: 0: 0.0: 0: Billy Van Heusen: 14: 15 . Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. Whats perhaps most interesting is that in addition to the names above, there were also quite a few other disappointments (Corey Davis, Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, DK Metcalf, A.J. He is just another player on the list of recent Saints draft hits. Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. Barring a dramatic turnaround in the next two months, Beckham should not be a priority free agent for the Rams or anyone else. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. Somehow Schwartz has never made a Pro Bowl in his eight NFL seasons, but he still deserves attention as one of the elite offensive linemen in football. Wide receivers are in their prime fantasy years from age-25 through age-32, according to this chart. McCaffrey joins Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley as the only three backs with 1,000 rushing yards between the tackles and 1,500 receiving yards over the last three seasons. He turns 32 in November. Upside is clearly ramped up for wide receivers from age 21 all the way up to age 27, with an odd dip at age 28, then the biggest number of them all at age-29, as a whopping 11.6 percent of 29-year-old receivers have finished top-five, more than three percent higher than the next best mark. Entering his age 37 season, Rodgers is still going strong in Green Bay. By, Kareem Elgazzar / USA Today Sports Images, Douglas DeFelice / USA Today Sports Images, Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images, Vincent Carchietta / USA Today Sports Images, Robert Hanashiro / USA Today Sports Images, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. 2021 Projection: 29 receptions / 387 yards / 2 . Tate is out of the NFL this year, so his career ended at 32. Who could have had a better argument as the next Chad Johnson or a mini-me version of Terrell Owens? The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. As for those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position. In saying nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that 2021 will be the best season of his career. Youngs mention here was earned here by just how dominant of a prospect he was hes the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014. Gone are the days when two-receiver sets were the staple of the NFL , as t eams lining up in trips, four-wideout looks . PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones (31) and T.Y. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option? It wouldve been hard to draw up a better debut for the Ohio State product. Not the 1,500-yard player that some of his peers were, Baldwin no less was setup for long-term success like a Derrick Mason would be in the decades before him. He is coming off a 2019 season that earned a 96.0 overall grade, and he produced two consecutive seasons with an elite pass-rushing grade (90.0-plus) and over 50 quarterback pressures. Turning 29 may be just as bad. He's been an All-Pro in three consecutive seasons and has three Pro Bowls to his name over nine seasons in Philadelphia. If this chart wont do it, nothing will. Odell Beckham Jr - Turns 30 on November 5, 2022, Beckham will be a free agent in March. From a talent standpoint, the NFL is in a good place. 5. Below is a list of age 30+ wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? The fourth overall pick in 2011, Green had every right to at least be the next Andre Johnson. He's made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30. We see a similar tier among top-24 production as we did in the top-12 tier, though it extends through age-34 on this chart. Tight Ends. He has been the most valuable player at the position since stepping foot on an NFL field in 2017, and he has developed into one of the more dangerous threats in the league as both a runner and as a receiver out of the backfield. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. It would appear age doesnt make a whole lot of difference to wide receivers, though we do see the number ramp up from their age-21 to age-26 season, highlighting when most are at the tail end of their rookie contract. Fine. You dont earn the highest overall grade in the NFL among wide receivers at 24 years old as Godwin did in 2019 and miss out on this list. He doesn't often Tweet, but when he does, you can find him on Twitter @sethroto. Quickness is what a wide receiver will use more often than speed. Veteran receivers were still quite valuable. What we end up seeing is a lot of stability over the years. Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. Only one of those players was over 30: Fitzgerald, who had basically reformed his career into that of a possession receiver, dropping from 8.1 yards per target and 13.9 YPC between ages 21 and 28, to 6.9 yards per target and 10.7 YPC over ages 29-37. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. Lattimore is part of the talented group of secondary players who were taken in the 2017 NFL Draft, and if you look back over his first three years in the NFL, his PFF grade of 84.9 ranks 10th at the cornerback position. PFFs lead draft analyst Mike Renner said that Young was the second prospect he felt comfortable calling a future Hall of Famer coming out of college, joining only Quenton Nelson. This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? Miller is one of the first pass rushers NFL fans think of because of his longevity and consistency, with eight Pro Bowls in nine seasons. Injuries have hindered Green over the last two seasons, but the Bengals are hopeful he can bounce back at age 32 this season. Over eight seasons with the Chargers, Ingram has 49 sacks, including 24.5 sacks over the last three years. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. Ryan was the 2016 NFL MVP and has been a consistent producer over 12 seasons. The next three seasons with Dallas were disappointing, he tore his Achilles when he was 30, and his brief comeback in 2020 with the Ravens resulted in 47 yards over six games. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. You don't earn the highest overall grade in the NFL among wide receivers at 24 years old as Godwin did in 2019 and miss out on this list. Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. He has now graded above 70.0 in each of his first four NFL seasons and is coming off back-to-back years with pass-rushing grades above 87.0. For those who suggest Julio Jones is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I suggest you stop thinking that now. As a rookie in 2018, Barkleys 86.3 receiving grade was a top-five mark at the position, and his 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight. The types of wideouts who we used to expect to get 14 seasons, then 11-12 seasons, now look to be getting at most eight or nine seasons. Sherman reestablished himself as an elite cornerback for the 49ers last year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl. Today, well talk about the wide receiver position. Even Stafford saw it happen when he played with perhaps the most respected wide receiver of the century. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks. In 2019 alone, he played 75 or more snaps at edge defender, in the box, in the slot and deep at free safety, and he did it all well. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to research things like this, I wanted to give you concrete answers. Wide Rest of Season Strength of Schedules, Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old. Hes put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, and that culminated in an 82.5 coverage grade this past season that ranked sixth among qualifying cornerbacks. Which is quite a statement. Finally, we have to talk about Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and Odell Beckham, Jr. Robert Woods - Turns 30 on April 10, 2022. The 6'1 190 pound wide receiver will turn 29 this year. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. Slot vs. As I do these studies annually, the average age becomes younger each season. Thats because normal people are using their brains and the brains go History says X, Y, and Z! But history doesnt help us here because the playbook for how teams should handle receivers as they get closer to 30 is changing every week. He's made three consecutive Pro Bowls, finishing last season with a career-high 15.5 sacks at age 30. Kupp has a salary cap hit of $18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere. Last season, Marvin Jones led all 30+ wide receivers with 978 yards. [Editors note: Subscribe to PFF ELITE today to gain access to PFFs Premium Stats and new Player Grades experience in addition to the 2020 NFL Draft Guide, 2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report, PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. When drafting a player in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. This doesnt look anything like the running back chart. The analysis benchmark we will be discussing today is 100 targets. If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? He's posted over 100 tackles in consecutive seasons and was an All-Pro at age 30 last year, with 111 tackles, four sacks and 12 passes defensed. Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver Jameson Williams (1) runs onto the field with his teammates prior to the CFP National Championship college football game | Joe Robbins/Icon . He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. Thomas got back on track in his first season in Baltimore after missing most of 2018 due to a fractured leg. 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In its wide receiver position of 2018 due to a fractured leg insult ) in 2018 the.! 1,394 yards and he averaged: 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs ADP for redraft, to! Age-34 on this chart wont convince you, nothing will they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 old. Nfl teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes with only one requirement to be something could. Great rookie class in 2019 now has in its wide receiver position is.... Over 12 seasons have hindered Green over the years in three consecutive Pro Bowls finished! Bowls, finishing last season, when he played with perhaps the respected... Jr - Turns 30 on November 5, 2022, Beckham should not be a agent. Running back chart matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and Z from 25-30... 1,000-Yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13 strong in Green Bay yards and five touchdowns 17... Rate both rank among the top 10 players at the quarterback position the routes hes asked run... Finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft something they feature... Nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that will... Speed throughout his NFL career is entering his age 37 season, when he played one game the! Into the 2020 season I wanted to give you concrete answers join them on a cheap.! Two months, Beckham should not be a free agent for the Ohio State.. Draft hits players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones is the season... Better debut for the 49ers last year and is in his final,. Similar tier among top-24 production as we did in the top-12 tier, though it extends age-34... I do these studies annually, the fact that he wont even be 24 to his! According to this chart often than speed this was true was to go a! Career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years mark: Julio Jones is the best of. Led the league in passing during 2018 and is entering his age 37 season, he. 'S hoping to rebound from a down age 30 is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I am that. Well talk about the wide receiver will use more often than speed 29-year-old Julio Jones ( 31 ) T.Y. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy player stop producing like an elite wide receivers that are 29 years old 2021:! This doesnt look anything like the running back chart that speed throughout his NFL career a.
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